Cjenovni rizik u poljoprivredi Europske unije

master's thesis

• Title (english): Price risk in agriculture of the European union
• Author: Danko Barbir
• Mentor: Mario Njavro (mentor)
• Committee member: Mario Njavro (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Vesna Očić (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Lari Hadelan (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Tajana Čop (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Agriculture; (Management and Rural Entrepreneurship); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2019-09-30, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: BIOTECHNICAL SCIENCES; Agronomy

Abstract

Diplomski rad se bavi cjenovnim rizikom poljoprivrednih proizvoda u Europskoj uniji. Ciljevi rada su izmjeriti cjenovni rizik kravljeg mlijeka, pšenice, kukuruza, svinjskog mesa i šećera u Hrvatskoj i Europskoj uniji. Nadalje, opisati strategije upravljanja cjenovnim rizikom, izgraditi model za ocjenu učinaka strategije u navedenim proizvodnjama te odrediti mogućnosti i prepreke u njihovoj primjeni. Pregledom literature su obrađene teme rizika u poljoprivredi, cjenovnog rizika, strategija upravljanja rizikom i tržišta poljoprivrednih proizvoda. Statističkom obradom podataka iz EU Market Observatory je izmjeren cjenovni rizik. Utvrđeno je da Hrvatska ima relativno visok koeficijent varijabilnosti cijena pšenice (12%), a kod kravljeg mlijeka (7%), kukuruza (8%), svinjskog mesa (9%) i šećera (7%) je manji u odnosu na prosjek EU. Preproučene su strategije: udruživanje kod proizvodnje kravljeg mlijeka, hedging pšenice, skladištenje kukuruza, ugovaranje proizvodnje svinja i hedging šećera. Strategije su vrednovane pomoću očekivane novčane vrijednosti, analize scenarija i stabla odlučivanja.

Abstract (english)

The master's thesis deals with price risk of agricultural products in the European Union. The goal of this thesis is measuring price risk for cow milk, wheat, maize, pig meat and sugar in Croatia and the European Union. Another goal is to describe price risk management strategies, create a model for the assessment of their effectiveness and identifying the opportunities and obstacles for their use. The literature review handles topics like risk in agriculture, price risk, risk management and the market of agricultural products. Data from the EU Market Observatory is used for statistical analysis and measurement of price risk. It is determined that Croatia has a relatively high coefficient of variability of wheat prices (12%), and relatively low for cow milk (7%), maize (8%), pig meat (9%), and sugar (7%) prices (when compared to the EU average). Recommended strategies are: cooperation for the production of cow milk, hedging wheat prices, storage of maize, contract farming for pigs and hedging sugar prices. The strategies are evaluated using expected monetary value, scenario analysis and the decision tree method.

• Keywords: upravljanje rizikom; cjenovni rizik; poljoprivredni proizvodi
• Keywords (english): risk management; price risk; agricultural products
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:204:760685
• Study programme: Title: Agribusiness and Rural Development; Study programme type: university; Study level: graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/ magistra inženjer/inženjerka agrobiznisa i ruralnog razvitka (magistar/ magistra inženjer/inženjerka agrobiznisa i ruralnog razvitka)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2019-12-02 14:05:11